Eta will likely enter the eastern Gulf of Mexico Monday, but the upper pattern should keep it far east. No impacts are expected for Louisiana at this time.

Tropical Storm Eta is now moving more north and will start to turn NW on Sunday as it heads toward south Florida. The storms is forecast to be a strong tropical storm or hurricane as it moves near or over Key West on Monday.

It should then enter the eastern Gulf on Tuesday. An upper trough over the south-central US and a building ridge in the western Gulf should confine it to the eastern Gulf. Associated shear and dry air should cause it to weaken in the eastern Gulf late in the week. We’re not expecting any impacts to Louisiana.