//Tropical Update: Eta’s current path keeps it near Florida

Tropical Update: Eta’s current path keeps it near Florida

Eta remains a depression and is showing up very poorly on satellite with no clear low level circulation. The “center” is over the Caribbean and models as well as the NHC indicate it will reorganize and strengthen to a tropical storm as it approaches Cuba and then S FL.

After that it looks to feel the effects of an upper high to its NE and a motion westward toward the Gulf is expected early next week. Once in the Gulf it appears that by midweek, and upper trough over the south-central US and a building ridge in the western Gulf will help to weak the storm with dry air and wind shear as well as keep it away from the central Gulf coast…us!

Certainly not written in stone, however the latest forecast from the NHC indicates that from Monday into Tuesday the storm will be moving westward in the Gulf, then by Tuesday into Wednesday start turning NW, then N, keeping SELA on the dry side. We’ll see what the structure of the storm is once in the Gulf. Stay tuned…