As Tropical Storm Elsa approaches South Carolina, the latest track appears to be a bit more westward. This storm track will bring more moisture into Greenville and Upstate South Carolina.
Although the center of Elsa is expected to remain inland of the coastline from Georgia through the Carolinas during the next day or two, tropical storm conditions are expected along much of the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina. Tropical storm conditions are also possible along the coast of the mid-Atlantic state by Thursday night or Friday.
Heavy rainfall across southeast Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, and southeastern Virginia may result in isolated flash and urban flooding, with considerable flash and urban flooding possible across coastal Georgia and the Lowcountry of South Carolina.
Greenville, SC Weather Forecast
Today Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 69. South southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. North wind 7 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Thursday Night A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. West southwest wind around 6mph
National Hurricane Center 5am Update: Tropical Storm ElsaTropical Storm Elsa Discussion Number 29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052021
500 AM EDT Wed Jul 07 2021
The central convection associated with Elsa dissipated for a time earlier this morning, although the latest radar and satellite imagery shows a new band forming in the northern semicircle. This decrease was likely caused by a combination of shear and dry air entrainment, and it has caused the cyclone to weaken. Aircraft and surface observations indicate the central pressure has risen to near 1004 mb, and the initial intensity is decreased to a possibly generous 55 kt based on aircraft and Doppler radar data.
After a slight jog to the left, the storm has resumed a motion of 360/12. This motion should continue for the next 12 h or so until landfall occurs across the northwestern Florida peninsula. Thereafter, a gradual turn toward the north-northeast is expected by, followed by acceleration toward the northeast as Elsa moves into the mid-latitude westerlies. The forecast guidance has shifted a little to the left since the last advisory, and the new forecast track is also nudged in that direction. The new track lies a little to the right of the various consensus models.
While little change in strength is forecast before landfall, there is a chance that the new convection could cause a short-lived re-intensification. So, based on this possibility a hurricane warning remains in effect for portions of the west coast of Florida. After landfall, Elsa should weaken as it crosses the southeastern United States, followed by some re-intensification as it accelerates back over the Atlantic. The system is expected to become extratropical by the time it reaches the Canadian Maritimes in 72 h. The new intensity forecast is at the upper edge of the guidance envelope and has only minor adjustments from the previous forecast.